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Company Analysis

Expand Energy Corporation EXE

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Expand Energy Corporation

Overview of Expand Energy Corporation

EXE NMS
Energy Oil & Gas E&P Framework: Commodities & Mining Large Cap
Expand Energy Corporation (EXE), is a Large Cap company, in the Oil & Gas E&P industry, last closed at $91.73, about 30.2% overvalued vs fair value, -12.0% 1Y return, ranked 82/260 in sector.
Metrics P/E 14.6× Rev Growth 188.8% ROE 10.1% Gross Margin 50.8% Div Yield 2.91%
USD 91.73
-1.55%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 26.4%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$21.28B
Enterprise Value
$24.12B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Good
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Good
Growth
Good
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Good
Completeness: 82%
Confidence: 85%
Updated: Jul 5
Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://www.expandenergy.com
HQ Oklahoma City, OK
Employees 1,600
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Jul 28 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$57
$64
$71
Current: $91.73 -30% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Commodities & Mining - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$12.2B
188.8%%
Gross Profit
$6.2B
443.2%%
Operating Income
$2.8B
497.6%%
EBITDA
$5.5B
440%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Commodities & Mining

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
0.90x
Good

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

Free cash flow relative to net income

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$865.0M
52.6% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health some concerns
Moderate efficiency issues detected. Review active leaks below for improvement areas.
2
Active Leaks
2/2
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Expand Energy Corporation's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
50
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
51
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Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Commodities & Mining vs Industry Peers 97% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing EXE's balance between Growth (38.2%), Profitability (34.3%), and Safety (27.6%). Growth 38% Safety 28% Profitability 34%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

68th percentile vs peers
68
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 1.89 96p EPS Growth YoY 2.66 92p Revenue CAGR 3Y 2.1% 55p TSR 14.1% 47p EPS CAGR 3Y -39.3% 15p
Strengths
  • Rev Growth YoY in top 20% of peers (1.89, 96th percentile)
  • EPS Growth YoY in top 20% of peers (2.66, 92th percentile)
  • Growth above peer median with strong metric coverage (100%)
  • Consistently strong margins across 6 metrics
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

61th percentile vs peers
61
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

49th percentile vs peers
49
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Expand Energy Corporation.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$64.03
- - -
-30.2% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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