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Company Analysis

Genius Sports Limited GENI

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Genius Sports Limited

Overview of Genius Sports Limited

GENI NYQ
Communication Services Internet Content & Information Framework: Software & SaaS Small Cap
Genius Sports Limited (GENI), is a Small Cap company, in the Internet Content & Information industry, last closed at $6.32, about 20.1% overvalued vs fair value, -46.5% 1Y return, ranked 160/271 in sector.
Metrics Rev Growth 31.0% ROE -17.2% Gross Margin 23.0%
USD 6.32
-3.07%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 71.9%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$1.69B
Enterprise Value
$2.32B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Weak
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Weak
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 82%
Confidence: 88%
Updated: Oct 24
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.geniussports.com
HQ London
Employees 1,850
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Nov 3 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$4
$5
$6
Current: $6.32 -20% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Software & SaaS - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Total Revenue
$669.5M
31%%
Gross Profit
$153.8M
19.5%%
Operating Income (GAAP)
-$151.3M
-158.5%%
Operating Cash Flow
$86.4M
5.5%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Software & SaaS

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Gross Margin
23.0%

Gross Profit / Revenue — context only; ad platforms typically 60–80%, marketplaces and streaming lower by design

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Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
3
Active Leaks
3/3
Improving
1
High Impact
2
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Software & SaaS Specialized

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Genius Sports Limited's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
51
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • R&D Reinvestment Supports Growth R&D commitment is strong relative to peers (score 0.88).
  • Innovation Converts to Outcomes Innovation payoff is strong (score 0.83), supported by Rule of 40 and revenue compounding.

Key risks

  • Margin Compression Risk Margin quality is below peer norms (score 0.20), suggesting pricing pressure.
  • Returns Trail Peers Return profile is weak (score 0.31), pointing to limited capital efficiency.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Weak
16
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Recurring Revenue Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Innovation Engine

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cash Scalability

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Balance Sheet Resilience

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Software SaaS vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing GENI's balance between Growth (43.1%), Profitability (23.3%), and Safety (33.6%). Growth 43% Safety 34% Profitability 23%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

72th percentile vs peers
72
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 31.0% 83p Revenue CAGR 3Y 25.2% 80p Def Rev Growth 32.3% 83p TSR 73.1% 88p EPS Growth YoY -59.5% 19p
Strengths
  • Rev Growth YoY in top 20% of peers (31.0%, 83th percentile)
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y in top 20% of peers (25.2%, 80th percentile)
  • Def Rev Growth in top 20% of peers (32.3%, 83th percentile)
  • Cash to Debt Ratio in top 20% of peers (9.20, 82th percentile)
  • Net Debt/EBITDA in top 20% of peers (-6.77, 91th percentile)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

38th percentile vs peers
39
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

56th percentile vs peers
56
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Genius Sports Limited.

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$5.05
- - -
-20.1% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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