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Company Analysis

Groupon, Inc. GRPN

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Groupon, Inc.

Overview of Groupon, Inc.

GRPN NMS
Communication Services Internet Content & Information Framework: Software & SaaS Small Cap
Groupon, Inc. (GRPN), is a Small Cap company, in the Internet Content & Information industry, last closed at $18.95, about 56.0% undervalued vs fair value, -17.0% 1Y return, ranked 194/271 in sector.
Metrics Rev Growth 1.2% ROE 9561.5% Gross Margin 90.8%
USD 18.95
0.42%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 83.3%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$1.01B
Enterprise Value
$1.10B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Fair
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Fair
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 60%
Updated: Sep 12
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.groupon.com
HQ Chicago, IL
Employees 2,079
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Nov 5 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$26
$30
$33
Current: $18.95 +56% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$498.4M
1.2%%
Gross Profit
$452.5M
1.9%%
Operating Income
$13.0M
175.7%%
Net Income
$-83.5M
-41.5%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
-59.7%

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - not meaningful while net income is negative (a near-100% ratio here only reflects cash burn tracking accounting losses, not earnings quality)

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$25.2M
62.9% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
3
Active Leaks
0/3
Improving
1
High Impact
1
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Software & SaaS Specialized

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Groupon, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
60
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Premium Software Margins Gross margin quality is strong versus peers (score 0.75), consistent with premium software economics.
  • Asset-Light Returns Return profile is strong (score 0.80), supporting a capital-efficient model.

Key risks

  • Growth-Profit Balance Looks Weak Innovation payoff is weak (score 0.39), indicating limited return on reinvestment.
  • Liquidity Cushion Looks Thin Liquidity position is weak (score 0.19), leaving less room for error.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Moderate
66
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Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Software SaaS vs Industry Peers 94% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing GRPN's balance between Growth (20.4%), Profitability (44.2%), and Safety (35.4%). Growth 20% Safety 35% Profitability 44%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

30th percentile vs peers
30
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 1.2% 30p Def Rev Growth 4.7% 43p Revenue CAGR 3Y -5.9% 17p Buyback % 2.4% 46p EPS Growth YoY -37.5% 23p
Strengths
  • Gross Profit Margin in top 20% of peers (90.8%, 96th percentile)
  • Cash Flow to Debt Ratio in top 20% of peers (6.64, 95th percentile)
  • Conservative leverage compared to industry peers
Risks
  • Growth below peer median (percentile: 30)

Profitability

65th percentile vs peers
66
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

52th percentile vs peers
53
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Groupon, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$29.57
- - -
+56.0% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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