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Company Analysis

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. HGV

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.

Overview of Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.

HGV NYQ
Consumer Cyclical Resorts & Casinos Framework: General Corporate Mid Cap
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV), is a Mid Cap company, in the Resorts & Casinos industry, last closed at $41.00, about 155.2% undervalued vs fair value, +3.2% 1Y return, ranked 167/548 in sector.
Metrics P/E 50.6× Rev Growth 1.3% ROE 5.3% Gross Margin 63.9%
USD 41.00
6.66%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 41.7%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$3.11B
Enterprise Value
$10.76B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 88%
Confidence: 92%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.hiltongrandvacatio...
HQ Orlando, FL
Employees 21,800
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

No upcoming events available.

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$92
$105
$118
Current: $41.00 +155% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$5.0B
1.3%%
Gross Profit
$3.2B
1.3%%
Operating Income
$653.0M
-16.2%%
Net Income
$81.0M
72.3%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
190.1%
Excellent

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

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Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
5
Active Leaks
0/5
Improving
0
High Impact
2
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
54
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Margins Stable Across Cycles Operating margin volatility is low (stability score 0.82), demonstrating pricing resilience across cycles.
  • Scale Supporting Profitability Profitability at scale is strong (score 0.73), demonstrating competitive advantages.

Key risks

  • Revenue Volatility Signals Weak Stickiness Revenue volatility is high (stability score 0.24), suggesting weak customer stickiness.
  • Weak or Negative Cash Flow Cash generation is weak (score 0.29), limiting financial flexibility.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Strong
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing HGV's balance between Growth (36.7%), Profitability (39.8%), and Safety (23.5%). Growth 37% Safety 24% Profitability 40%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

56th percentile vs peers
57
Key Signals
Revenue CAGR 3Y 9.6% 70p EPS Growth YoY 94.2% 85p Rev Growth YoY 1.3% 41p TSR 30.8% 74p EPS CAGR 3Y -32.9% 15p
Strengths
  • EPS Growth YoY in top 20% of peers (94.2%, 85th percentile)
  • Gross Profit Margin in top 20% of peers (63.9%, 87th percentile)
  • Current Ratio in top 20% of peers (4.10, 86th percentile)
  • Quick Ratio in top 20% of peers (2.53, 80th percentile)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

61th percentile vs peers
62
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

36th percentile vs peers
36
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Hilton Grand Vacations Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$104.63
- - -
+155.2% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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