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Company Analysis

Hongli Group Inc. HLP

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Hongli Group Inc.

Overview of Hongli Group Inc.

HLP NCM
Basic Materials Steel Framework: Commodities & Mining Small Cap
Hongli Group Inc. (HLP), is a Small Cap company, in the Steel industry, last closed at $4.07, about 93.1% overvalued vs fair value, +152.0% 1Y return, placing in the top 25% of its sector.
Metrics P/E 39.3× Rev Growth 39.0% ROE 3.5% Gross Margin 32.5%
USD 4.07
0.25%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 105.5%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$304.19M
Enterprise Value
$313.89M
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Good
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Good
Growth
Good
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Good
Completeness: 82%
Confidence: 89%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://hongliprofile.com
HQ Weifang
Employees 167
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

No upcoming events available.

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$0
$0
$0
Current: $4.07 -93% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Commodities & Mining - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$19.6M
39%%
Gross Profit
$6.4M
41.1%%
Operating Income
$2.4M
253.7%%
EBITDA
$3.5M
844.4%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Commodities & Mining

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
0.34x
Poor

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

Free cash flow relative to net income

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Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
2
Active Leaks
1/2
Improving
1
High Impact
1
Critical
Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Hongli Group Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
56
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Margins Consistently Above Peers Gross margin at 32.5% (top 8%) and operating margin at 12.4% (top 8%) indicate strong pricing power.
  • Scale Supporting Profitability Profitability at scale is strong (score 0.92), demonstrating competitive advantages.

Key risks

  • Liquidity Concerns Liquidity is concerning (score 0.12), raising questions about short-term obligations.
  • Revenue Volatility Signals Weak Stickiness Revenue volatility is high (stability score 0.29), suggesting weak customer stickiness.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Moderate
63
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Commodities & Mining vs Industry Peers 97% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing HLP's balance between Growth (33.8%), Profitability (34.0%), and Safety (32.2%). Growth 34% Safety 32% Profitability 34%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

45th percentile vs peers
46
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 39.0% 80p Revenue CAGR 3Y -1.1% 45p EPS Growth YoY -69.7% 21p EPS CAGR 3Y -52.3% 8p
Strengths
  • Rev Growth YoY in top 20% of peers (39.0%, 80th percentile)
  • Conservative leverage compared to industry peers
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

45th percentile vs peers
46
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

43th percentile vs peers
44
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Hongli Group Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$0.28
- - -
-93.1% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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