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Company Analysis

Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. HOV

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc.

Overview of Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc.

HOV NYQ
Consumer Cyclical Residential Construction Framework: General Corporate Small Cap
Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. (HOV), is a Small Cap company, in the Residential Construction industry, last closed at $104.92, about 609.2% undervalued vs fair value, -12.7% 1Y return, ranked 351/548 in sector.
Metrics P/E 15.6× Rev Growth -0.9% ROE 7.8% Gross Margin 14.1% Div Yield 1.51%
USD 104.92
5.54%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 54.3%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$625.31M
Enterprise Value
$1.45B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 96%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.khov.com
HQ Matawan, NJ
Employees 1,891
Fiscal year Oct 31

Next Events

Earnings Dec 3 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$651
$744
$845
Current: $104.92 +609% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$3.0B
-0.9%%
Gross Profit
$420.7M
-28.7%%
Operating Income
$70.8M
-71.4%%
Net Income
$63.9M
-73.6%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
260.2%
Excellent

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$44.1M
26.5% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health some concerns
Moderate efficiency issues detected. Review active leaks below for improvement areas.
3
Active Leaks
0/3
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
35
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Revenue Growth Consistent Revenue growth volatility is low (stability score 0.95), suggesting sticky customer base.

Key risks

  • ROIC Below WACC or Peers ROIC at 23.8th percentile suggests inefficient capital deployment.
  • Commodity Pressure / Weak Differentiation Gross margin at 19.0th percentile with high volatility suggests weak pricing power or commoditized products.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Developing
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing HOV's balance between Growth (23.4%), Profitability (39.7%), and Safety (37.0%). Growth 23% Safety 37% Profitability 40%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

28th percentile vs peers
29
Key Signals
Revenue CAGR 3Y 0.6% 41p Rev Growth YoY -0.9% 34p EPS Growth YoY -76.6% 19p TSR -30.7% 20p EPS CAGR 3Y -37.7% 12p
Strengths
  • Current Ratio in top 20% of peers (3.92, 85th percentile)
  • Cash Flow to Debt Ratio in top 20% of peers (2.36, 87th percentile)
  • Strong liquidity position vs peers
Risks
  • EPS Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-76.6%)

Profitability

48th percentile vs peers
48
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

45th percentile vs peers
45
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$744.14
- - -
+609.2% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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