Skip to content
Company Analysis

Heartland Express, Inc. HTLD

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Heartland Express, Inc.

Overview of Heartland Express, Inc.

HTLD NMS
Industrials Trucking Framework: General Corporate Small Cap
Heartland Express, Inc. (HTLD), is a Small Cap company, in the Trucking industry, last closed at $10.56, about 30.8% undervalued vs fair value, +38.8% 1Y return, ranked 469/669 in sector.
Metrics Rev Growth -23.1% ROE -6.7% Gross Margin 8.4% Div Yield 0.89%
USD 10.56
3.33%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 33.5%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$815.26M
Enterprise Value
$887.77M
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 95%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.heartlandexpress.c...
HQ North Liberty, IA
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Jan 27 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$12
$14
$16
Current: $10.56 +31% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$805.7M
-23.1%%
Gross Profit
$67.5M
-38.7%%
Operating Income
-$57.4M
-183.7%%
Net Income
-$52.5M
-76.5%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
127.5%

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - not meaningful while net income is negative (a near-100% ratio here only reflects cash burn tracking accounting losses, not earnings quality)

Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
4
Active Leaks
0/4
Improving
0
High Impact
4
Critical
Locked Leak
Upgrade to view details
Premium
Locked Leak
Upgrade to view details
Premium
Locked Leak
Upgrade to view details
Premium
Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Heartland Express, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
19
/100
Weak
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key risks

  • Commodity Pressure / Weak Differentiation Gross margin at 21.4th percentile with high volatility suggests weak pricing power or commoditized products.
  • Scale Without Profitability Despite scale, profitability lags peers (score 0.18), suggesting limited competitive advantage.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

Upgrade to unlock the signals and evidence behind each defense.

Premium access

Unlock full defense analysis

Get key signals, strengths, and risks for every moat dimension.

Upgrade to Premium Unlock all moat defenses and evidence.

Pricing Power

Weak
8
Premium

Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

Premium

Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

Premium

Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

Premium

Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

Premium

Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

Premium

Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

vs Industry Peers 95% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing HTLD's balance between Growth (18.9%), Profitability (36.3%), and Safety (44.8%). Growth 19% Safety 45% Profitability 36%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
Upgrade to unlock the full 3-year trend analysis and deltas.

Growth

17th percentile vs peers
18
Key Signals
Revenue CAGR 3Y -5.9% 22p EPS Growth YoY -78.4% 19p TSR -18.8% 29p Rev Growth YoY -23.1% 8p
Strengths
  • Debt/FCF Ratio in top 20% of peers (-2.39, 85th percentile)
  • Conservative leverage compared to industry peers
Risks
  • Growth in bottom 20% of peers (percentile: 17)
  • EPS Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-78.4%)
  • Rev Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-23.1%)

Profitability

33th percentile vs peers
34
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
Premium
Unlock full Profitability drilldowns

See the signal-level drivers and insights behind this axis. Upgrade to reveal the full Trade-Off Ledger.

Upgrade Now

Safety

41th percentile vs peers
42
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Heartland Express, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
X.X%
X%XX%
X.X%
-XX%XX%
XX.X%
-XX%XX%
Adjust the sliders above to explore different valuation scenarios.
Unlock Premium
Reveal the full Scenario Theatre
See live sliders, narratives, and full Bear/Base/Bull outcomes.
Upgrade Now
Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$13.81
- - -
+30.8% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
Actions & Info
Send Feedback
Please select a category.
0/1000