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Company Analysis

LyondellBasell Industries NV LYB

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for LyondellBasell Industries NV

Overview of LyondellBasell Industries N.V.

LYB NYQ
Basic Materials Specialty Chemicals Framework: General Corporate Large Cap
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB), is a Large Cap company, in the Specialty Chemicals industry, last closed at $66.88, about 97.6% undervalued vs fair value, +57.8% 1Y return, ranked 153/267 in sector.
Metrics Rev Growth -9.7% ROE -6.6% Gross Margin 8.6% Div Yield 12.66%
USD 66.88
-2.56%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 33.5%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$21.62B
Enterprise Value
$32.02B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Good
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Good
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 97%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.lyondellbasell.com
HQ London, TX
Employees 18,970
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Jan 29 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$115
$132
$151
Current: $66.88 +98% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$30.2B
-9.7%%
Gross Profit
$2.6B
-44.5%%
Operating Income
-$420.0M
-121.9%%
Net Income
-$745.0M
-154.8%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
-51.5%

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - not meaningful while net income is negative (a near-100% ratio here only reflects cash burn tracking accounting losses, not earnings quality)

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$2.0B
511.7% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
6
Active Leaks
0/6
Improving
2
High Impact
3
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating LyondellBasell Industries NV's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
32
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key risks

  • Commodity Pressure / Weak Differentiation Gross margin at 12.7th percentile with high volatility suggests weak pricing power or commoditized products.
  • ROIC Below WACC or Peers ROIC at 36.4th percentile suggests inefficient capital deployment.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Developing
25
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing LYB's balance between Growth (16.2%), Profitability (44.1%), and Safety (39.7%). Growth 16% Safety 40% Profitability 44%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

13th percentile vs peers
13
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY -9.7% 17p EPS Growth YoY -1.55 12p Revenue CAGR 3Y -15.8% 8p EPS CAGR 3Y -37.1% 12p TSR -34.3% 18p
Strengths

No notable strengths identified for this axis.

Risks
  • Growth in bottom 20% of peers (percentile: 13)
  • Rev Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-9.7%)
  • EPS Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-1.55)

Profitability

36th percentile vs peers
37
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

32th percentile vs peers
33
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for LyondellBasell Industries NV.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$132.15
- - -
+97.6% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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