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Company Analysis

MGP Ingredients, Inc. MGPI

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for MGP Ingredients, Inc.

Overview of MGP Ingredients, Inc.

MGPI NMS
Consumer Defensive Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries Framework: General Corporate Small Cap
MGP Ingredients, Inc. (MGPI), is a Small Cap company, in the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries industry, last closed at $17.74, about 64.9% undervalued vs fair value, -28.5% 1Y return, ranked 201/246 in sector.
Metrics Rev Growth -23.8% ROE -13.9% Gross Margin 37.2% Div Yield 2.00%
USD 17.74
3.62%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 47.5%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$358.30M
Enterprise Value
$710.11M
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 96%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://www.mgpingredients.com
HQ Atchison, KS
Employees 617
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Dividend Nov 13

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$25
$29
$34
Current: $17.74 +65% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$536.4M
-23.8%%
Gross Profit
$199.4M
-30.4%%
Operating Income
-$94.6M
-227.1%%
Net Income
-$107.8M
-411%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
-70.5%

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - not meaningful while net income is negative (a near-100% ratio here only reflects cash burn tracking accounting losses, not earnings quality)

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$80.8M
106.2% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
1
Active Leaks
0/1
Improving
0
High Impact
1
Critical
Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating MGP Ingredients, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
45
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Cash Generation Consistent Cash generation is consistent (score 0.75), indicating reliable business model.

Key risks

  • ROIC Below WACC or Peers ROIC at 20.0th percentile suggests inefficient capital deployment.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Developing
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing MGPI's balance between Growth (12.5%), Profitability (44.3%), and Safety (43.2%). Growth 13% Safety 43% Profitability 44%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

11th percentile vs peers
11
Key Signals
Revenue CAGR 3Y -11.8% 11p EPS CAGR 3Y -28.7% 17p Rev Growth YoY -23.8% 8p TSR -37.0% 16p EPS Growth YoY -4.21 6p
Strengths
  • FCF Margin in top 20% of peers (14.2%, 85th percentile)
  • Strong liquidity position vs peers
Risks
  • Growth in bottom 20% of peers (percentile: 11)
  • Rev Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-23.8%)
  • EPS Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-4.21)

Profitability

39th percentile vs peers
39
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

38th percentile vs peers
38
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for MGP Ingredients, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$29.25
- - -
+64.9% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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