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Company Analysis

MGP Ingredients, Inc. MGPI

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for MGP Ingredients, Inc.

Overview of MGP Ingredients, Inc.

MGPI NMS
Consumer Defensive Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries Framework: General Corporate Small Cap
MGP Ingredients, Inc. (MGPI), is a Small Cap company, in the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries industry, last closed at $17.91, about 63.7% undervalued vs fair value, -39.0% 1Y return, ranked 178/246 in sector.
Metrics Rev Growth -23.8% ROE -13.9% Gross Margin 37.2% Div Yield 2.00%
USD 17.91
-1.65%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 39.3%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$353.69M
Enterprise Value
$597.30M
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 82%
Confidence: 85%
Updated: Jul 5
Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://www.mgpingredients.com
HQ Atchison, KS
Employees 617
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Jul 30 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$25
$29
$34
Current: $17.91 +64% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$536.4M
-23.8%%
Gross Profit
$199.4M
-30.4%%
Operating Income
$83.5M
-49.2%%
Net Income
$-107.8M
-411%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
-70.5%

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - not meaningful while net income is negative (a near-100% ratio here only reflects cash burn tracking accounting losses, not earnings quality)

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$80.8M
106.2% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
1
Active Leaks
0/1
Improving
0
High Impact
1
Critical
Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating MGP Ingredients, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
62
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
67
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Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing MGPI's balance between Growth (10.1%), Profitability (51.7%), and Safety (38.2%). Growth 10% Safety 38% Profitability 52%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

10th percentile vs peers
10
Key Signals
Revenue CAGR 3Y -11.8% 11p EPS CAGR 3Y -28.7% 16p Rev Growth YoY -23.8% 8p TSR -37.0% 14p EPS Growth YoY -4.21 4p
Strengths
  • Operating Margin in top 20% of peers (15.6%, 82th percentile)
  • FCF Margin in top 20% of peers (14.2%, 84th percentile)
  • Consistently strong margins across 3 metrics
  • Strong liquidity position vs peers
Risks
  • Growth in bottom 20% of peers (percentile: 10)
  • Rev Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-23.8%)
  • EPS Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-4.21)

Profitability

52th percentile vs peers
53
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

39th percentile vs peers
39
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for MGP Ingredients, Inc..

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$29.31
- - -
+63.7% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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