Skip to content
Company Analysis

Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Overview of Marathon Petroleum Corporation

MPC NYQ
Energy Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Framework: Commodities & Mining Large Cap
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC), is a Large Cap company, in the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing industry, last closed at $312.27, about 54.0% undervalued vs fair value, +82.8% 1Y return, ranked 118/260 in sector.
Metrics P/E 12.3× Rev Growth -4.4% ROE 23.1% Gross Margin 7.5% Div Yield 2.33%
USD 312.27
-2.34%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 36.5%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$82.71B
Enterprise Value
$114.88B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Good
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Good
Growth
Good
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Good
Completeness: 82%
Confidence: 86%
Updated: Jul 5
Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://www.marathonpetroleum....
HQ Findlay, OH
Employees 18,500
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Aug 4 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$415
$481
$541
Current: $312.27 +54% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Commodities & Mining - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$132.7B
-4.4%%
Gross Profit
$10.0B
7.7%%
Operating Income
$5.8B
9.9%%
EBITDA
$11.7B
10.1%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Commodities & Mining

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
1.18x
Excellent

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

Free cash flow relative to net income

Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium

Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$4.6B
97.1% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health some concerns
Moderate efficiency issues detected. Review active leaks below for improvement areas.
2
Active Leaks
1/2
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
Upgrade to view details
Premium
Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Marathon Petroleum Corporation's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
45
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

Upgrade to unlock interactive defense details

Premium access

Unlock full defense analysis

Get key signals, strengths, and risks for every moat dimension.

Upgrade to Premium Unlock all moat defenses and evidence.

Pricing Power

Developing
47
Premium
Unlock full defense details

See key signals plus strengths and risks for this moat dimension.

Upgrade for full defense analysis Premium-only evidence and insights.
For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Commodities & Mining vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing MPC's balance between Growth (32.4%), Profitability (35.3%), and Safety (32.3%). Growth 32% Safety 32% Profitability 35%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
Upgrade to unlock the full 3-year trend analysis and deltas.

Growth

41th percentile vs peers
41
Key Signals
EPS Growth YoY 30.9% 65p Rev Growth YoY -4.4% 35p Revenue CAGR 3Y -9.2% 25p EPS CAGR 3Y -22.2% 39p TSR 19.3% 52p
Strengths
  • Superior capital returns - 3 return metrics above peer median
  • Cash Flow to Debt Ratio in top 20% of peers (2.48, 89th percentile)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

45th percentile vs peers
45
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
Premium
Unlock full Profitability drilldowns

See the signal-level drivers and insights behind this axis. Upgrade to reveal the full Trade-Off Ledger.

Upgrade Now

Safety

41th percentile vs peers
41
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Marathon Petroleum Corporation.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
X.X%
X%XX%
X.X%
-XX%XX%
XX.X%
-XX%XX%
Adjust the sliders above to explore different valuation scenarios.
Unlock Premium
Reveal the full Scenario Theatre
See live sliders, narratives, and full Bear/Base/Bull outcomes.
Upgrade Now
Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$480.88
- - -
+54.0% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
Actions & Info
Send Feedback
Please select a category.
0/1000