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Company Analysis

National Grid Transco, PLC Nati NGG

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for National Grid Transco, PLC Nati

Overview of National Grid plc

NGG NYQ
Utilities Utilities - Regulated Electric Framework: Regulated Utilities Large Cap
National Grid plc (NGG), is a Large Cap company, in the Utilities - Regulated Electric industry, last closed at $81.84, about 59.2% overvalued vs fair value, +14.6% 1Y return, placing in the top 10% of its sector.
Metrics Rev Growth -7.4% ROE 8.6% Gross Margin 77.4% Div Yield 2.40%
USD 81.84
0.39%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 28.3%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$80.19B
Enterprise Value
$125.22B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 82%
Confidence: 79%
Updated: Mar 8
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.nationalgrid.com
HQ London
Employees 31,654
Fiscal year Mar 31

Next Events

Dividend Jul 23

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$28
$33
$39
Current: $81.84 -59% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Regulated Utilities - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Total Revenue
$18.4B
-7.4%%
EBITDA
$7.6B
11.8%%
Operating Income (EBIT)
$5.2B
16.9%%
Net Income
$2.9B
26.7%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Regulated Utilities

Quality & Reliability Indicators

FFO / Total Debt
10.7%
Fair

FFO ÷ Total Debt — the primary S&P/Moody's credit metric for utility ratings. >15% is investment-grade; >20% signals strong credit quality.

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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$1.5B
30.3% of FFO

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
4
Active Leaks
0/4
Improving
0
High Impact
2
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Regulated Utilities

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating National Grid Transco, PLC Nati's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
61
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Regulatory Franchise

Moderate
74
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Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Regulated Utilities vs Industry Peers 95% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing NGG's balance between Growth (21.2%), Profitability (38.6%), and Safety (40.2%). Growth 21% Safety 40% Profitability 39%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

34th percentile vs peers
34
Key Signals
Asset Growth YoY 8.6% 47p Equity Growth YoY 26.6% 89p Rev Growth YoY -7.4% 15p Revenue CAGR 3Y -0.1% 18p EPS Growth YoY -70.9% 13p
Strengths
  • Operating Margin in top 20% of peers (28.5%, 82th percentile)
  • Operating Cash Flow Margin in top 20% of peers (37.0%, 80th percentile)
  • Equity Growth YoY in top 20% of peers (26.6%, 89th percentile)
Risks
  • Rev Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-7.4%)
  • EPS Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-70.9%)

Profitability

61th percentile vs peers
62
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

64th percentile vs peers
65
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for National Grid Transco, PLC Nati.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$33.39
- - -
-59.2% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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