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Company Analysis

Nutrien Ltd. NTR

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Nutrien Ltd.

Overview of Nutrien Ltd.

NTR NYQ
Basic Materials Agricultural Inputs Framework: General Corporate Large Cap
Nutrien Ltd. (NTR), is a Large Cap company, in the Agricultural Inputs industry, last closed at $70.20, about 31.3% undervalued vs fair value, +26.3% 1Y return, ranked 120/267 in sector.
Metrics P/E 13.2× Rev Growth 3.5% ROE 9.1% Gross Margin 31.1% Div Yield 3.56%
USD 70.20
1.12%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 28.7%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$33.54B
Enterprise Value
$44.04B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 98%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.nutrien.com
HQ Saskatoon, SK
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Nov 4 Call: Nov 5

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$82
$92
$104
Current: $70.20 +31% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$26.9B
3.5%%
Gross Profit
$8.3B
10.8%%
Operating Income
$3.9B
30.7%%
Net Income
$2.3B
236.4%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
88.3%
Good

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$2.8B
140.8% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health some concerns
Moderate efficiency issues detected. Review active leaks below for improvement areas.
5
Active Leaks
0/5
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Nutrien Ltd.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
66
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Margins Stable Across Cycles Operating margin volatility is low (stability score 0.76), demonstrating pricing resilience across cycles.
  • ROIC Sustainably Above Peers ROIC at 75.0th percentile exceeds peers and WACC, demonstrating superior capital allocation.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Moderate
72
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing NTR's balance between Growth (29.3%), Profitability (43.1%), and Safety (27.6%). Growth 29% Safety 28% Profitability 43%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

47th percentile vs peers
48
Key Signals
EPS Growth YoY 2.42 95p Rev Growth YoY 3.5% 49p TSR 42.8% 81p Revenue CAGR 3Y -10.8% 13p EPS CAGR 3Y -31.0% 16p
Strengths
  • EPS Growth YoY in top 20% of peers (2.42, 95th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 2 return metrics above peer median
  • TSR in top 20% of peers (42.8%, 81th percentile)
  • Operating Margin in top 20% of peers (14.4%, 81th percentile)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

70th percentile vs peers
70
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

44th percentile vs peers
45
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Nutrien Ltd..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$92.18
- - -
+31.3% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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