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Company Analysis

Nexstar Media Group, Inc. NXST

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Nexstar Media Group, Inc.

Overview of Nexstar Media Group, Inc.

NXST NMS
Communication Services Broadcasting Framework: General Corporate Mid Cap
Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST), is a Mid Cap company, in the Broadcasting industry, last closed at $177.54, about 127.9% undervalued vs fair value, -6.2% 1Y return, placing in the top 10% of its sector.
Metrics P/E 57.2× Rev Growth -8.5% ROE 5.1% Gross Margin 54.8% Div Yield 3.67%
USD 177.54
3.56%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 33.3%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$5.47B
Enterprise Value
$16.99B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Good
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Good
Growth
Good
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Good
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 96%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.nexstar.tv
HQ Irving, TX
Employees 11,773
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Dividend Nov 13

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$366
$405
$449
Current: $177.54 +128% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$4.9B
-8.5%%
Gross Profit
$2.7B
-14.8%%
Operating Income
$849.0M
-33%%
Net Income
$109.0M
-84.9%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
681.7%
Excellent

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
-
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$553.0M
74.4% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health significant issues
Overall assessment of cash flow efficiency and conversion quality.
4
Active Leaks
0/4
Improving
1
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Nexstar Media Group, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
78
/100
Strong
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Margins Stable Across Cycles Operating margin volatility is low (stability score 0.94), demonstrating pricing resilience across cycles.
  • Revenue Growth Consistent Revenue growth volatility is low (stability score 0.94), suggesting sticky customer base.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Strong
86
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing NXST's balance between Growth (19.4%), Profitability (52.5%), and Safety (28.1%). Growth 19% Safety 28% Profitability 53%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

26th percentile vs peers
26
Key Signals
Revenue CAGR 3Y -1.7% 33p TSR 33.2% 76p Rev Growth YoY -8.5% 18p EPS Growth YoY -83.9% 18p EPS CAGR 3Y -47.2% 6p
Strengths
  • Operating Margin in top 20% of peers (17.2%, 85th percentile)
  • FCF Margin in top 20% of peers (15.0%, 86th percentile)
  • Gross Profit Margin in top 20% of peers (54.8%, 80th percentile)
  • Consistently strong margins across 6 metrics
Risks
  • Rev Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-8.5%)
  • EPS Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-83.9%)

Profitability

71th percentile vs peers
71
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

37th percentile vs peers
38
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Nexstar Media Group, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$404.57
- - -
+127.9% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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