Skip to content
Company Analysis

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings OLLI

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings

Overview of Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.

OLLI NGM
Consumer Defensive Discount Stores Framework: General Corporate Mid Cap
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI), is a Mid Cap company, in the Discount Stores industry, last closed at $66.00, about 26.3% overvalued vs fair value, -52.4% 1Y return, ranked 127/246 in sector.
Metrics P/E 28.3× Rev Growth 16.6% ROE 13.4% Gross Margin 40.5%
USD 66.00
-2.12%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 48.5%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$3.85B
Enterprise Value
$4.36B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Good
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Good
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 82%
Confidence: 86%
Updated: Jul 5
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.ollies.com
HQ Harrisburg, PA
Employees 5,900
Fiscal year Jan 31

Next Events

Earnings Aug 27 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$41
$49
$57
Current: $66.00 -26% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$2.6B
16.6%%
Gross Profit
$1.1B
17.3%%
Operating Income
$322.9M
20.1%%
Net Income
$240.6M
20.4%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2026
80.9%
Good

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health healthy
Strong cash conversion with minimal leakage across profit-to-cash-to-value chain.
0
Active Leaks
0/0
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
73
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

Upgrade to unlock interactive defense details

Premium access

Unlock full defense analysis

Get key signals, strengths, and risks for every moat dimension.

Upgrade to Premium Unlock all moat defenses and evidence.

Pricing Power

Moderate
73
Premium
Unlock full defense details

See key signals plus strengths and risks for this moat dimension.

Upgrade for full defense analysis Premium-only evidence and insights.
For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing OLLI's balance between Growth (35.3%), Profitability (34.2%), and Safety (30.5%). Growth 35% Safety 31% Profitability 34%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
Upgrade to unlock the full 3-year trend analysis and deltas.

Growth

74th percentile vs peers
74
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 16.6% 78p Revenue CAGR 3Y 13.2% 76p EPS CAGR 3Y 33.4% 84p EPS Growth YoY 20.4% 59p TSR 31.4% 69p
Strengths
  • EPS CAGR 3Y in top 20% of peers (33.4%, 84th percentile)
  • Interest Coverage Ratio in top 20% of peers (16.47, 84th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 3 return metrics above peer median
  • Growth above peer median with strong metric coverage (100%)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

72th percentile vs peers
72
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
Premium
Unlock full Profitability drilldowns

See the signal-level drivers and insights behind this axis. Upgrade to reveal the full Trade-Off Ledger.

Upgrade Now

Safety

64th percentile vs peers
64
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
X.X%
X%XX%
X.X%
-XX%XX%
XX.X%
-XX%XX%
Adjust the sliders above to explore different valuation scenarios.
Unlock Premium
Reveal the full Scenario Theatre
See live sliders, narratives, and full Bear/Base/Bull outcomes.
Upgrade Now
Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$48.63
- - -
-26.3% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
Actions & Info
Send Feedback
Please select a category.
0/1000