Company Analysis

Pony AI Inc. PONY

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Pony AI Inc.

Overview of Pony AI Inc.

PONY NMS

Technology Information Technology Services Framework: Software & SaaS Mid Cap

Pony AI Inc. (PONY), is a Mid Cap company, in the Information Technology Services industry, last closed at $6.91, about 0.0% overvalued vs fair value, -47.3% 1Y return, ranked 650/780 in sector.

Metrics Rev Growth 20.0% ROE -10.3% Gross Margin 15.7% Div Yield 0.10%

USD 6.91

2.98%

(Delayed)

• Vol 90d: 70.2%

52-Week Range

Low

6.58

Now 6.91

High

24.06

Market Cap

$2.92B

Enterprise Value

$2.61B

Overall Score

View breakdown

Overall

Growth

Fair

Profitability

Weak

Health

Weak

Efficiency

Fair

Valuation

Weak

Growth

Fair

Profitability

Weak

Health

Weak

Efficiency

Fair

Valuation

Weak

Completeness: 82%

Confidence: 84%

Updated: Jul 5

Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://pony.ai

HQ Guangzhou

Employees 1,460

Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Aug 18 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull

Current: $6.91

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Software & SaaS - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps

Total Revenue

71.90M

20%%

Gross Profit

16.88M

24.2%%

Operating Income (GAAP)

-143.24M

8.6%%

Operating Cash Flow

-115.42M

-48.9%%

Money Flow Bridge

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Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right

Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage

Industry-Specific: Software & SaaS

Data Quality Notes

Note: 'Free Cash Flow' here is GAAP FCF (Operating Cash Flow − CapEx). Many software companies report an adjusted FCF that also adds back SBC; the Rule of 40 and FCF Margin shown use GAAP FCF, which is the more conservative and investor-relevant figure.
SBC is 34.2% of revenue — a real economic cost that dilutes shareholders annually even though it is a non-cash GAAP charge.
Rule of 40 score is -212.1 — below the 40-point benchmark. The company is not yet balancing growth and profitability at the level typically expected by institutional SaaS investors.

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Gross Margin

15.7%

Poor

Gross Profit / Revenue — pricing power and product moat (SaaS benchmark: >70%)

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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$6.4M

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical

Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.

Active Leaks

0/2

Improving

High Impact

Critical

Dividend/Buyback Overreach

Current: 200.0%

Allocation Leak

Locked Leak

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Pricing Power

Weak

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Recurring Revenue Stickiness

Weak

Innovation Engine

Developing

Cash Scalability

Developing

Capital Efficiency

Developing

Balance Sheet Resilience

Moderate

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Software SaaS vs Industry Peers 84% Coverage

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

52th percentile vs peers

Key Signals

Rev Growth YoY 20.0% 73p Revenue CAGR 3Y 9.6% 50p EPS Growth YoY 85.3% 72p TSR 1.1% 54p Def Rev Growth -40.7% 10p

Strengths

Cash to Debt Ratio in top 20% of peers (10.16, 82th percentile)
Current Ratio in top 20% of peers (13.67, 98th percentile)
Strong liquidity position vs peers
Conservative leverage compared to industry peers

Risks

Def Rev Growth in bottom 20% of peers (-40.7%)

Profitability

12th percentile vs peers

Key Signals

Strengths

Risks

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Safety

68th percentile vs peers

Key Signals

Strengths

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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Pony AI Inc..

WACC X.X%

X%XX%

Rev CAGR 5Y X.X%

-XX%XX%

Op Margin XX.X%

-XX%XX%

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Bear

- - -

- upside

Base

$-0.16

- - -

- upside

Snapshot base estimate

Bull

- - -

- upside

Fair Value Range Current: $-

$- $- $-

Pony AI Inc. PONY

Overview of Pony AI Inc.

Quick Facts

Next Events

Fair Value Snapshot

Flow Steps

Money Flow Bridge

Data Quality Notes

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Gross Margin

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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Dividend/Buyback Overreach

Locked Leak

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Pricing Power

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Recurring Revenue Stickiness

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Innovation Engine

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Cash Scalability

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Capital Efficiency

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Balance Sheet Resilience

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Growth

Profitability

Safety

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