Skip to content
Company Analysis

Phillips 66 PSX

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Phillips 66

Overview of Phillips 66

PSX NYQ
Energy Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Framework: Commodities & Mining Large Cap
Phillips 66 (PSX), is a Large Cap company, in the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing industry, last closed at $268.53, about 28.2% undervalued vs fair value, +100.9% 1Y return, placing in the top 25% of its sector.
Metrics P/E 12.0× Rev Growth -7.5% ROE 15.6% Gross Margin 9.8% Div Yield 3.70%
USD 268.53
-7.03%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 32.3%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$107.15B
Enterprise Value
$124.81B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Good
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Good
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 95%
Updated: Oct 24
Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://www.phillips66.com
HQ Houston, TX
Employees 12,600
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Oct 28 Call: Oct 28
Dividend Dec 1 Ex-div: Nov 17

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$296
$344
$388
Current: $268.53 +28% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Commodities & Mining - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$132.4B
-7.5%%
Gross Profit
$13.0B
20.4%%
Operating Income
$3.4B
93.6%%
EBITDA
$9.8B
63%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Commodities & Mining

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
0.62x
Fair

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

Free cash flow relative to net income

Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium

Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$3.1B
114.7% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health significant issues
Overall assessment of cash flow efficiency and conversion quality.
3
Active Leaks
2/3
Improving
1
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
Upgrade to view details
Premium
Locked Leak
Upgrade to view details
Premium
Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Phillips 66's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
55
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Margins Stable Across Cycles Operating margin volatility is low (stability score 0.71), demonstrating pricing resilience across cycles.
  • Strong Interest Coverage & Conservative Leverage Debt serviceability is strong (score 0.77), with robust interest coverage.

Key risks

  • Inconsistent Cash Generation Cash generation is inconsistent (score 0.47), indicating operational challenges.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

Upgrade to unlock the signals and evidence behind each defense.

Premium access

Unlock full defense analysis

Get key signals, strengths, and risks for every moat dimension.

Upgrade to Premium Unlock all moat defenses and evidence.

Pricing Power

Moderate
57
Premium

Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

Premium

Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

Premium

Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

Premium

Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

Premium

Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

Premium

Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Commodities & Mining vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing PSX's balance between Growth (34.2%), Profitability (32.8%), and Safety (33.0%). Growth 34% Safety 33% Profitability 33%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
Upgrade to unlock the full 3-year trend analysis and deltas.

Growth

43th percentile vs peers
43
Key Signals
EPS Growth YoY 1.15 82p Rev Growth YoY -7.5% 27p Revenue CAGR 3Y -8.0% 29p EPS CAGR 3Y -22.6% 38p TSR 17.4% 54p
Strengths
  • EPS Growth YoY in top 20% of peers (1.15, 82th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 2 return metrics above peer median
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

41th percentile vs peers
41
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
Premium
Unlock full Profitability drilldowns

See the signal-level drivers and insights behind this axis. Upgrade to reveal the full Trade-Off Ledger.

Upgrade Now

Safety

41th percentile vs peers
42
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Phillips 66.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
X.X%
X%XX%
X.X%
-XX%XX%
XX.X%
-XX%XX%
Adjust the sliders above to explore different valuation scenarios.
Unlock Premium
Reveal the full Scenario Theatre
See live sliders, narratives, and full Bear/Base/Bull outcomes.
Upgrade Now
Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$344.33
- - -
+28.2% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
Actions & Info
Send Feedback
Please select a category.
0/1000