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Company Analysis

Papa John's International, Inc. PZZA

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Papa John's International, Inc.

Overview of Papa John's International, Inc.

PZZA NMS
Consumer Cyclical Restaurants Framework: General Corporate Small Cap
Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA), is a Small Cap company, in the Restaurants industry, last closed at $18.90, about 228.3% undervalued vs fair value, -55.9% 1Y return, ranked 271/548 in sector.
Metrics P/E 41.5× Rev Growth -0.3% ROE -7.0% Gross Margin 20.7% Div Yield 4.84%
USD 18.90
2.38%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 46.1%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$622.22M
Enterprise Value
$1.33B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 95%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.papajohns.com
HQ Louisville, KY
Employees 11,400
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Nov 5 Call: Nov 5

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$51
$62
$73
Current: $18.90 +228% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$2.1B
-0.3%%
Gross Profit
$425.7M
2.2%%
Operating Income
$89.1M
-43.1%%
Net Income
$30.5M
-63.4%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
168.9%
Excellent

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$95.7M
185.6% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health significant issues
Overall assessment of cash flow efficiency and conversion quality.
7
Active Leaks
1/7
Improving
2
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Papa John's International, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
56
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • ROIC Sustainably Above Peers ROIC at 83.3th percentile exceeds peers and WACC, demonstrating superior capital allocation.
  • Margins Stable Across Cycles Operating margin volatility is low (stability score 0.78), demonstrating pricing resilience across cycles.

Key risks

  • Inconsistent Cash Generation Cash generation is inconsistent (score 0.44), indicating operational challenges.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Moderate
56
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

vs Industry Peers 92% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing PZZA's balance between Growth (27.0%), Profitability (47.9%), and Safety (25.1%). Growth 27% Safety 25% Profitability 48%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

32th percentile vs peers
32
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY -0.3% 35p Revenue CAGR 3Y -0.8% 36p TSR -1.7% 47p EPS Growth YoY -63.6% 22p EPS CAGR 3Y -21.2% 22p
Strengths
  • Superior capital returns - 2 return metrics above peer median
  • ROIC in top 20% of peers (21.7%, 90th percentile)
Risks
  • Growth below peer median (percentile: 32)

Profitability

57th percentile vs peers
57
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

30th percentile vs peers
30
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Papa John's International, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$62.05
- - -
+228.3% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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