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Company Analysis

Rand Capital Corporation RAND

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Rand Capital Corporation

Overview of Rand Capital Corporation

RAND NCM
Financial Services Asset Management Framework: Asset Management & Capital Markets Micro Cap
Rand Capital Corporation (RAND), is a Micro Cap company, in the Asset Management industry, last closed at $9.11, about 549.5% undervalued vs fair value, -34.2% 1Y return, ranked 291/1078 in sector.
Metrics Rev Growth -162.9% ROE -13.7% Div Yield 21.59%
USD 9.11
-6.47%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 35.1%
Market Cap
$27.10M
Enterprise Value
$31.77M
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Weak
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Weak
Completeness: 88%
Confidence: 89%
Updated: Oct 24
Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://www.randcapital.com
HQ Buffalo, NY
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Nov 4 Call: Nov 4

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$45
$59
$81
Current: $9.11 +550% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Micro Cap

Asset Management & Capital Markets - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Total Revenue
-$6.4M
-162.9%%
Operating Income (FRE Proxy)
$8.8M
28.7%%
EBITDA
$8.8M
28.6%%
Net Income
-$8.0M
-191.1%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Asset Management & Capital Markets

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Operating Margin (FRE Proxy)
-137.9%
Poor

Operating Income / Revenue — proxy for Fee-Related Earnings margin

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Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health healthy
Strong cash conversion with minimal leakage across profit-to-cash-to-value chain.
0
Active Leaks
0/0
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Moat Analysis Asset Management Specialized

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Rand Capital Corporation's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
33
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Conservative Leverage Leverage is conservative vs peers (score 0.90).
  • Improving Margin Trajectory Margin trajectory is improving (trend score 0.74).

Key risks

  • Below-Peer Return on Equity Return on equity lags peers (score 0.11).
  • AUM Retention Risk Revenue stickiness is low (stability score 0.12).

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Fee Revenue Quality

Developing
43
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Signals, strengths and risks for Fee Revenue Quality

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Signals, strengths and risks for Client Retention & Revenue Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Compensation Discipline

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Earnings Quality & Cash Conversion

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Signals, strengths and risks for Balance Sheet Strength

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Asset Managers, Capital Markets & Exchanges vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing RAND's balance between Growth (8.6%), Profitability (37.5%), and Safety (53.9%). Growth 9% Safety 54% Profitability 37%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

10th percentile vs peers
10
Key Signals
Revenue CAGR 3Y -15.2% 16p EPS CAGR 3Y -13.7% 19p EPS Growth YoY -1.80 7p Rev Growth YoY -1.63 5p
Strengths
  • Net Profit Margin in top 20% of peers (1.26, 95th percentile)
  • D/E Ratio in top 20% of peers (0.9%, 90th percentile)
  • Debt/Assets in top 20% of peers (0.8%, 94th percentile)
  • Conservative leverage compared to industry peers
Risks
  • Growth in bottom 20% of peers (percentile: 10)
  • EPS Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-1.80)
  • Rev Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-1.63)

Profitability

44th percentile vs peers
45
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

64th percentile vs peers
65
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Rand Capital Corporation.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$59.17
- - -
+549.5% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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