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Company Analysis

Semtech Corporation SMTC

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Semtech Corporation

Overview of Semtech Corporation

SMTC NMS
Technology Semiconductors Framework: General Corporate Large Cap
Semtech Corporation (SMTC), is a Large Cap company, in the Semiconductors industry, last closed at $138.68, about 82.3% overvalued vs fair value, +158.2% 1Y return, ranked 403/780 in sector.
Metrics Rev Growth 15.5% ROE -7.4% Gross Margin 51.6%
USD 138.68
0.61%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 87.8%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$12.81B
Enterprise Value
$13.14B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Good
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Good
Completeness: 82%
Confidence: 86%
Updated: Jul 5
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.semtech.com
HQ Camarillo, CA
Employees 1,838
Fiscal year Jan 31

Next Events

Earnings Aug 24 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$22
$25
$28
Current: $138.68 -82% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$1.0B
15.5%%
Gross Profit
$542.1M
18.8%%
Operating Income
$123.3M
97.7%%
Net Income
$-40.4M
75.1%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2026
-409.6%

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - not meaningful while net income is negative (a near-100% ratio here only reflects cash burn tracking accounting losses, not earnings quality)

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Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
3
Active Leaks
2/3
Improving
0
High Impact
2
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Semtech Corporation's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
59
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
57
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 84% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing SMTC's balance between Growth (41.2%), Profitability (31.7%), and Safety (27.1%). Growth 41% Safety 27% Profitability 32%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

76th percentile vs peers
77
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 15.5% 77p Revenue CAGR 3Y 11.6% 73p EPS Growth YoY 79.8% 80p
Strengths
  • EPS Growth YoY in top 20% of peers (79.8%, 80th percentile)
  • Growth above peer median with strong metric coverage (75%)
  • FCF Margin in top 20% of peers (15.8%, 87th percentile)
  • Cash Flow to Debt Ratio in top 20% of peers (1.64, 81th percentile)
  • Consistently strong margins across 4 metrics
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

59th percentile vs peers
59
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

50th percentile vs peers
51
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Semtech Corporation.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$24.55
- - -
-82.3% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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