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Company Analysis

Semtech Corporation SMTC

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Semtech Corporation

Overview of Semtech Corporation

SMTC NMS
Technology Semiconductors Framework: General Corporate Large Cap
Semtech Corporation (SMTC), is a Large Cap company, in the Semiconductors industry, last closed at $122.38, about 80.0% overvalued vs fair value, +75.1% 1Y return, placing in the top 10% of its sector.
Metrics Rev Growth 15.5% ROE -7.4% Gross Margin 51.6%
USD 122.38
-3.93%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 95.6%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$11.42B
Enterprise Value
$11.71B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Good
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Good
Growth
Good
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Good
Completeness: 88%
Confidence: 93%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.semtech.com
HQ Camarillo, CA
Employees 1,838
Fiscal year Jan 31

Next Events

Earnings Nov 23 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$22
$25
$28
Current: $122.38 -80% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$1.0B
15.5%%
Gross Profit
$542.1M
18.8%%
Operating Income
$32.6M
-34.8%%
Net Income
-$40.4M
75.1%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2026
-409.6%

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - not meaningful while net income is negative (a near-100% ratio here only reflects cash burn tracking accounting losses, not earnings quality)

Locked Metric
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Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
3
Active Leaks
2/3
Improving
0
High Impact
2
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Semtech Corporation's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
42
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Revenue Growth Consistent Revenue growth volatility is low (stability score 0.97), suggesting sticky customer base.

Key risks

  • Elevated Debt Risk Debt serviceability is weak (score 0.24), raising refinancing risk.
  • Volatile Margins Suggest Cyclicality Margin volatility is high (stability score 0.20), suggesting cyclical exposure or competitive pressure.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Developing
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

vs Industry Peers 92% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing SMTC's balance between Growth (44.4%), Profitability (29.7%), and Safety (25.9%). Growth 44% Safety 26% Profitability 30%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

77th percentile vs peers
78
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 15.5% 77p Revenue CAGR 3Y 11.6% 74p EPS Growth YoY 79.8% 81p
Strengths
  • EPS Growth YoY in top 20% of peers (79.8%, 81th percentile)
  • Growth above peer median with strong metric coverage (75%)
  • FCF Margin in top 20% of peers (15.8%, 87th percentile)
  • Cash Flow to Debt Ratio in top 20% of peers (1.64, 81th percentile)
  • Consistently strong margins across 3 metrics
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

51th percentile vs peers
52
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

45th percentile vs peers
45
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Semtech Corporation.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$24.51
- - -
-80.0% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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