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Company Analysis

Molson Coors Beverage Company TAP

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Molson Coors Beverage Company

Overview of Molson Coors Beverage Company

TAP NYQ
Consumer Defensive Beverages - Brewers Framework: General Corporate Mid Cap
Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP), is a Mid Cap company, in the Beverages - Brewers industry, last closed at $43.23, about 63.8% undervalued vs fair value, -2.0% 1Y return, ranked 191/246 in sector.
Metrics Rev Growth -4.2% ROE -18.4% Gross Margin 38.4% Div Yield 4.29%
USD 43.23
7.75%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 33.2%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$7.09B
Enterprise Value
$12.96B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Weak
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Weak
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 96%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.molsoncoors.com
HQ Golden, CO
Employees 16,200
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Nov 5 Call: Nov 5

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$59
$71
$83
Current: $43.23 +64% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$11.1B
-4.2%%
Gross Profit
$4.3B
-5.7%%
Operating Income
-$2.3B
-233.3%%
Net Income
-$2.1B
-290.6%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
-49.9%

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - not meaningful while net income is negative (a near-100% ratio here only reflects cash burn tracking accounting losses, not earnings quality)

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$1.0B
97.1% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
4
Active Leaks
0/4
Improving
0
High Impact
1
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Molson Coors Beverage Company's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
38
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Revenue Growth Consistent Revenue growth volatility is low (stability score 0.80), suggesting sticky customer base.
  • Cash Generation Consistent Cash generation is consistent (score 0.82), indicating reliable business model.

Key risks

  • ROIC Below WACC or Peers ROIC at 22.4th percentile suggests inefficient capital deployment.
  • Elevated Debt Risk Debt serviceability is weak (score 0.30), raising refinancing risk.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Weak
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing TAP's balance between Growth (33.2%), Profitability (37.7%), and Safety (29.1%). Growth 33% Safety 29% Profitability 38%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

32th percentile vs peers
32
Key Signals
Revenue CAGR 3Y 1.4% 44p EPS CAGR 3Y 5.0% 54p Rev Growth YoY -4.2% 26p TSR -15.1% 34p EPS Growth YoY -3.01 7p
Strengths

No notable strengths identified for this axis.

Risks
  • EPS Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-3.01)

Profitability

36th percentile vs peers
36
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

28th percentile vs peers
28
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Molson Coors Beverage Company.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$70.83
- - -
+63.8% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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