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Company Analysis

Ulta Beauty, Inc. ULTA

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Ulta Beauty, Inc.

Overview of Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA NMS
Consumer Cyclical Specialty Retail Framework: General Corporate Large Cap
Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA), is a Large Cap company, in the Specialty Retail industry, last closed at $489.47, about 34.4% overvalued vs fair value, -5.4% 1Y return, ranked 205/548 in sector.
Metrics P/E 25.3× Rev Growth 9.7% ROE 43.6%
USD 489.47
0.28%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 40.8%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$19.79B
Enterprise Value
$21.92B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Good
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Good
Completeness: 82%
Confidence: 86%
Updated: Jul 5
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.ulta.com
HQ Bolingbrook, IL
Employees 20,000
Fiscal year Jan 31

Next Events

Earnings Aug 27

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$268
$321
$373
Current: $489.47 -34% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$12.4B
9.7%%
Gross Profit
$4.8B
10.4%%
Operating Income
$1.5B
-1.9%%
Net Income
$1.2B
-4%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2026
92.6%
Good

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health some concerns
Moderate efficiency issues detected. Review active leaks below for improvement areas.
2
Active Leaks
1/2
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
71
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
75
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing ULTA's balance between Growth (29.8%), Profitability (41.6%), and Safety (28.7%). Growth 30% Safety 29% Profitability 42%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

56th percentile vs peers
57
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 9.7% 67p Revenue CAGR 3Y 6.7% 61p EPS Growth YoY 1.2% 45p EPS CAGR 3Y 2.2% 50p TSR -2.3% 42p
Strengths
  • Interest Coverage Ratio in top 20% of peers (95.71, 94th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 3 return metrics above peer median
  • ROIC in top 20% of peers (41.1%, 95th percentile)
  • Consistently strong margins across 6 metrics
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

78th percentile vs peers
79
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

54th percentile vs peers
55
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Ulta Beauty, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$321.23
- - -
-34.4% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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