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Company Analysis

Valero Energy Corporation VLO

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Valero Energy Corporation

Overview of Valero Energy Corporation

VLO NYQ
Energy Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Framework: Commodities & Mining Large Cap
Valero Energy Corporation (VLO), is a Large Cap company, in the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing industry, last closed at $381.46, about 16.5% undervalued vs fair value, +116.7% 1Y return, placing in the top 25% of its sector.
Metrics P/E 21.4× Rev Growth -5.5% ROE 9.7% Gross Margin 4.4% Div Yield 2.83%
USD 381.46
-4.55%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 39.8%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$106.38B
Enterprise Value
$113.13B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Good
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Good
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 97%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.valero.com
HQ San Antonio, TX
Employees 9,785
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Dividend Nov 24
Earnings Jan 28 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$381
$444
$502
Current: $381.46 +17% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Commodities & Mining - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$122.7B
-5.5%%
Gross Profit
$5.4B
12.8%%
Operating Income
$3.2B
-15.3%%
EBITDA
$6.7B
-4.4%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Commodities & Mining

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
2.14x
Excellent

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

Free cash flow relative to net income

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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$4.0B
79.6% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health healthy
Strong cash conversion with minimal leakage across profit-to-cash-to-value chain.
1
Active Leaks
0/1
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Valero Energy Corporation's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
53
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Strong Interest Coverage & Conservative Leverage Debt serviceability is strong (score 0.94), with robust interest coverage.
  • Consistent Cash Generation Cash generation is strong and consistent (score 0.73).

Key risks

  • Scale Without Profitability Despite scale, profitability lags peers (score 0.32), suggesting limited competitive advantage.
  • Revenue Volatility Signals Weak Stickiness Revenue volatility is high (stability score 0.29), suggesting weak customer stickiness.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Developing
43
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Commodities & Mining vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing VLO's balance between Growth (27.0%), Profitability (30.3%), and Safety (42.8%). Growth 27% Safety 43% Profitability 30%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

34th percentile vs peers
34
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY -5.5% 33p EPS Growth YoY -11.7% 44p TSR 36.5% 65p Revenue CAGR 3Y -11.4% 22p EPS CAGR 3Y -36.1% 19p
Strengths

No notable strengths identified for this axis.

Risks
  • Growth below peer median (percentile: 34)

Profitability

38th percentile vs peers
38
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

54th percentile vs peers
54
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Valero Energy Corporation.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$444.31
- - -
+16.5% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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