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Company Analysis

Warner Music Group Corp. WMG

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Warner Music Group Corp.

Overview of Warner Music Group Corp.

WMG NMS
Communication Services Entertainment Framework: General Corporate Large Cap
Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG), is a Large Cap company, in the Entertainment industry, last closed at $28.46, about 13.1% undervalued vs fair value, +8.0% 1Y return, placing in the top 10% of its sector.
Metrics P/E 48.6× Rev Growth 4.4% ROE 62.7% Gross Margin 45.9% Div Yield 2.16%
USD 28.46
-0.32%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 41.3%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$14.89B
Enterprise Value
$18.75B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Good
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Good
Completeness: 82%
Confidence: 88%
Updated: Mar 8
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.wmg.com
HQ New York, NY
Employees 5,500
Fiscal year Sep 30

Next Events

Earnings Aug 6 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$29
$32
$36
Current: $28.46 +13% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$6.7B
4.4%%
Gross Profit
$3.1B
0.1%%
Operating Income
$928.0M
-4.1%%
Net Income
$365.0M
-16.1%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
94.2%
Good

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$400.0M
116.3% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health significant issues
Overall assessment of cash flow efficiency and conversion quality.
4
Active Leaks
0/4
Improving
2
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Warner Music Group Corp.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
67
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Strong
79
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Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing WMG's balance between Growth (25.6%), Profitability (40.5%), and Safety (33.9%). Growth 26% Safety 34% Profitability 41%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

45th percentile vs peers
46
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 4.4% 54p Revenue CAGR 3Y 4.2% 49p EPS Growth YoY -16.6% 34p TSR 11.2% 55p EPS CAGR 3Y -12.9% 27p
Strengths
  • D/E Ratio in top 20% of peers (7.12, 96th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 3 return metrics above peer median
  • Debt/FCF Ratio in top 20% of peers (13.40, 88th percentile)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

72th percentile vs peers
72
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

60th percentile vs peers
60
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Warner Music Group Corp..

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$32.19
- - -
+13.1% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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