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Company Analysis

Peabody Energy Corporation BTU

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Peabody Energy Corporation

Overview of Peabody Energy Corporation

BTU NYQ
Energy Thermal Coal Framework: Commodities & Mining Mid Cap
Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU), is a Mid Cap company, in the Thermal Coal industry, last closed at $23.88, about 89.8% undervalued vs fair value, +54.9% 1Y return, ranked 203/260 in sector.
Metrics Rev Growth -8.9% ROE -1.5% Gross Margin 13.6% Div Yield 1.01%
USD 23.88
3.51%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 58.0%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$2.85B
Enterprise Value
$2.79B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 82%
Confidence: 84%
Updated: Jul 5
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.peabodyenergy.com
HQ Saint Louis, MO
Employees 5,400
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Jul 30 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$39
$45
$52
Current: $23.88 +90% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$3.9B
-8.9%%
Gross Profit
$526.6M
-35.4%%
Operating Income
$-5.0M
-101.5%%
Net Income
$-52.9M
-114.3%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
165.8%

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - not meaningful while net income is negative (a near-100% ratio here only reflects cash burn tracking accounting losses, not earnings quality)

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Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
5
Active Leaks
0/5
Improving
0
High Impact
5
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Peabody Energy Corporation's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
36
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Developing
33
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Commodities & Mining vs Industry Peers 95% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing BTU's balance between Growth (24.0%), Profitability (27.5%), and Safety (48.5%). Growth 24% Safety 49% Profitability 27%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

28th percentile vs peers
29
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY -8.9% 26p Revenue CAGR 3Y -8.1% 28p TSR 43.3% 66p EPS Growth YoY -1.17 12p
Strengths
  • Net Debt/EBITDA in top 20% of peers (-25.9%, 88th percentile)
  • Debt/FCF Ratio in top 20% of peers (-5.24, 89th percentile)
  • Conservative leverage compared to industry peers
Risks
  • EPS Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-1.17)

Profitability

32th percentile vs peers
33
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

58th percentile vs peers
58
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Peabody Energy Corporation.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$45.33
- - -
+89.8% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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