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Company Analysis

Ford Motor Company F

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Ford Motor Company

Overview of Ford Motor Company

F NYQ
Consumer Cyclical Auto Manufacturers Framework: General Corporate Large Cap
Ford Motor Company (F), is a Large Cap company, in the Auto Manufacturers industry, last closed at $12.60, about 400.2% undervalued vs fair value, -4.0% 1Y return, ranked 164/548 in sector.
Metrics Rev Growth 1.2% ROE -20.3% Gross Margin 0.9% Div Yield 5.72%
USD 12.60
2.86%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 29.8%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$50.31B
Enterprise Value
$192.71B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 96%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.ford.com
HQ Dearborn, MI
Employees 169,000
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Dividend Nov 10

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$54
$63
$72
Current: $12.60 +400% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$187.3B
1.2%%
Gross Profit
$1.7B
-89.2%%
Operating Income
-$9.2B
-275.7%%
Net Income
-$8.2B
-239.2%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
-152.4%

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - not meaningful while net income is negative (a near-100% ratio here only reflects cash burn tracking accounting losses, not earnings quality)

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$3.6B
28.9% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
4
Active Leaks
2/4
Improving
1
High Impact
1
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Ford Motor Company's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
57
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Revenue Growth Consistent Revenue growth volatility is low (stability score 1.00), suggesting sticky customer base.
  • Cash Generation Consistent Cash generation is consistent (score 0.89), indicating reliable business model.

Key risks

  • Elevated Debt Risk Debt serviceability is weak (score 0.20), raising refinancing risk.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Moderate
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

vs Industry Peers 95% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing F's balance between Growth (41.4%), Profitability (33.5%), and Safety (25.0%). Growth 41% Safety 25% Profitability 34%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

43th percentile vs peers
44
Key Signals
Revenue CAGR 3Y 5.8% 60p Rev Growth YoY 1.2% 41p TSR 40.1% 79p EPS Growth YoY -2.41 8p
Strengths
  • Cash Flow to Debt Ratio in top 20% of peers (3.89, 92th percentile)
Risks
  • EPS Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-2.41)

Profitability

35th percentile vs peers
35
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

26th percentile vs peers
26
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Ford Motor Company.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
X.X%
X%XX%
X.X%
-XX%XX%
XX.X%
-XX%XX%
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$63.03
- - -
+400.2% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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