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Company Analysis

NewJersey Resources Corporation NJR

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for NewJersey Resources Corporation

Overview of New Jersey Resources Corporation

NJR NYQ
Utilities Utilities - Regulated Gas Framework: Regulated Utilities Mid Cap
New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR), is a Mid Cap company, in the Utilities - Regulated Gas industry, last closed at $54.18, about 34.4% overvalued vs fair value, +19.9% 1Y return, ranked 58/117 in sector.
Metrics P/E 14.5× Rev Growth 13.4% ROE 14.6% Gross Margin 35.7% Div Yield 3.72%
USD 54.18
1.82%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 19.0%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$5.50B
Enterprise Value
$9.17B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Good
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Good
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 94%
Confidence: 94%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://www.njresources.com
HQ Wall, NJ
Employees 1,376
Fiscal year Sep 30

Next Events

Earnings Nov 18 Call: Nov 19

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$29
$36
$41
Current: $54.18 -34% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Regulated Utilities - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Total Revenue
$2.0B
13.4%%
EBITDA
$743.9M
11.7%%
Operating Income (EBIT)
$508.9M
11.1%%
Net Income
$335.6M
15.8%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Regulated Utilities

Quality & Reliability Indicators

FFO / Total Debt
15.9%
Good

FFO ÷ Total Debt — the primary S&P/Moody's credit metric for utility ratings. >15% is investment-grade; >20% signals strong credit quality.

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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$180.1M
30.0% of FFO

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health some concerns
Moderate efficiency issues detected. Review active leaks below for improvement areas.
2
Active Leaks
0/2
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Regulated Utilities

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating NewJersey Resources Corporation's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
61
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Earning the Allowed ROE Return on equity is strong vs peers (score 0.88), suggesting rate-base growth is translating into earnings.
  • Investment-Grade Interest Coverage Interest coverage is strong (score 1.00), supporting investment-grade credit metrics.

Key risks

  • Unstable Regulated Margins Margin stability is low (score 0.25), raising questions about rate-case predictability.
  • Unexpected Revenue Volatility Revenue stability is poor for a regulated utility (score 0.12).

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Regulatory Franchise

Developing
47
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Signals, strengths and risks for Regulatory Franchise

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Signals, strengths and risks for Rate-Base Return Quality

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Signals, strengths and risks for Dividend Sustainability

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Structure Discipline

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Signals, strengths and risks for Operational Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Essential Service Resilience

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Regulated Utilities vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing NJR's balance between Growth (32.3%), Profitability (38.8%), and Safety (29.0%). Growth 32% Safety 29% Profitability 39%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

51th percentile vs peers
52
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 13.4% 75p Asset Growth YoY 8.6% 48p EPS Growth YoY 14.1% 61p Equity Growth YoY 8.7% 58p Revenue CAGR 3Y -11.2% 6p
Strengths
  • ROE in top 20% of peers (14.6%, 85th percentile)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

62th percentile vs peers
62
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

46th percentile vs peers
47
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for NewJersey Resources Corporation.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$35.56
- - -
-34.4% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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