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Company Analysis

NRG Energy, Inc. NRG

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for NRG Energy, Inc.

Overview of NRG Energy, Inc.

NRG NYQ
Utilities Utilities - Independent Power Producers Large Cap
NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG), is a Large Cap company, in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, last closed at $154.81, about 35.2% undervalued vs fair value, +41.3% 1Y return, ranked 39/116 in sector.
Metrics Rev Growth 9.2% ROE 41.6% Gross Margin 21.9% Div Yield 1.35%
$154.81
-3.33%
As of April 28, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 49.6%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$33.23B
Enterprise Value
$45.26B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Fair
Health
Good
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Fair
Health
Good
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 82%
Confidence: 89%
Updated: Mar 8
Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://www.nrg.com
HQ Houston, TX
Employees 16,702
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings May 11 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$166
$209
$250
Current: $154.81 +35% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Regulated Utilities - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Total Revenue
$30.7B
9.2%%
EBITDA
$3.8B
8.7%%
Operating Income (EBIT)
$1.9B
-18.9%%
Net Income
$864.0M
-23.2%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Regulated Utilities

Quality & Reliability Indicators

FFO / Total Debt
15.1%
Good

FFO ÷ Total Debt — the primary S&P/Moody's credit metric for utility ratings. >15% is investment-grade; >20% signals strong credit quality.

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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$1.8B
71.4% of FFO

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health some concerns
Moderate efficiency issues detected. Review active leaks below for improvement areas.
3
Active Leaks
1/3
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Regulated Utilities

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating NRG Energy, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
62
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Regulatory Franchise

Moderate
52
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Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Regulated Utilities vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing NRG's balance between Growth (41.9%), Profitability (17.3%), and Safety (40.8%). Growth 42% Safety 41% Profitability 17%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

62th percentile vs peers
63
Key Signals
Asset Growth YoY 21.3% 75p Rev Growth YoY 9.2% 75p EPS Growth YoY 5.44 91p Equity Growth YoY -19.0% 25p Revenue CAGR 3Y -0.9% 8p
Strengths
  • EPS Growth YoY in top 20% of peers (5.44, 91th percentile)
  • Debt/Assets in top 20% of peers (57.5%, 91th percentile)
  • Growth above peer median with strong metric coverage (100%)
  • Conservative leverage compared to industry peers
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

25th percentile vs peers
26
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

60th percentile vs peers
61
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for NRG Energy, Inc..

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$209.32
- - -
+35.2% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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