Skip to content
Company Analysis

NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. NWE

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc.

Overview of NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc.

NWE NMS
Utilities Utilities - Regulated Electric Framework: Regulated Utilities Mid Cap
NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. (NWE), is a Mid Cap company, in the Utilities - Regulated Electric industry, last closed at $80.29, about 45.2% overvalued vs fair value, +27.0% 1Y return, ranked 37/117 in sector.
Metrics P/E 21.9× Rev Growth 6.4% ROE 6.3% Gross Margin 56.9% Div Yield 4.07%
USD 80.29
0.60%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 22.1%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$4.94B
Enterprise Value
$8.52B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 96%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.northwesternenergy...
HQ Sioux Falls, SD
Employees 1,667
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Call Nov 5

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$36
$44
$51
Current: $80.29 -45% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Regulated Utilities - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Total Revenue
$1.6B
6.4%%
EBITDA
$587.4M
2.3%%
Operating Income (EBIT)
$325.8M
0.8%%
Net Income
$181.1M
-19.2%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Regulated Utilities

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Interest Coverage FY2025
2.2x
Fair

EBIT / |Interest Expense|

EBIT / |Interest Expense| — debt serviceability

Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
4
Active Leaks
0/4
Improving
0
High Impact
1
Critical
Locked Leak
Upgrade to view details
Premium
Locked Leak
Upgrade to view details
Premium
Locked Leak
Upgrade to view details
Premium
Moat Analysis Regulated Utilities

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
39
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Highly Stable Essential-Service Revenue Revenue stability is high (score 0.86), reflecting inelastic demand for essential services.
  • Predictable Regulated Cash Flows Margin stability is high (score 0.91), reflecting the contractual nature of regulated tariffs.

Key risks

  • Interest Coverage Below Peers Interest coverage is weak (score 0.20), which may pressure credit ratings.
  • Below-Allowed ROE Return on equity is weak vs peers (score 0.10), implying the company may not be earning its allowed return.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

Upgrade to unlock the signals and evidence behind each defense.

Premium access

Unlock full defense analysis

Get key signals, strengths, and risks for every moat dimension.

Upgrade to Premium Unlock all moat defenses and evidence.

Regulatory Franchise

Moderate
61
Premium

Signals, strengths and risks for Regulatory Franchise

Premium

Signals, strengths and risks for Rate-Base Return Quality

Premium

Signals, strengths and risks for Dividend Sustainability

Premium

Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Structure Discipline

Premium

Signals, strengths and risks for Operational Efficiency

Premium

Signals, strengths and risks for Essential Service Resilience

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Regulated Utilities vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing NWE's balance between Growth (30.4%), Profitability (32.7%), and Safety (36.9%). Growth 30% Safety 37% Profitability 33%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
Upgrade to unlock the full 3-year trend analysis and deltas.

Growth

33th percentile vs peers
33
Key Signals
Asset Growth YoY 5.8% 33p Rev Growth YoY 6.4% 39p Revenue CAGR 3Y 2.9% 38p EPS Growth YoY -19.4% 24p Equity Growth YoY 1.0% 20p
Strengths

No notable strengths identified for this axis.

Risks
  • Growth below peer median (percentile: 33)

Profitability

35th percentile vs peers
36
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
Premium
Unlock full Profitability drilldowns

See the signal-level drivers and insights behind this axis. Upgrade to reveal the full Trade-Off Ledger.

Upgrade Now

Safety

40th percentile vs peers
40
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
X.X%
X%XX%
X.X%
-XX%XX%
XX.X%
-XX%XX%
Adjust the sliders above to explore different valuation scenarios.
Unlock Premium
Reveal the full Scenario Theatre
See live sliders, narratives, and full Bear/Base/Bull outcomes.
Upgrade Now
Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$43.99
- - -
-45.2% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
Actions & Info
Send Feedback
Please select a category.
0/1000