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Company Analysis

OPAL Fuels Inc. OPAL

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for OPAL Fuels Inc.

Overview of OPAL Fuels Inc.

OPAL NCM
Utilities Utilities - Regulated Gas Framework: Regulated Utilities Micro Cap
OPAL Fuels Inc. (OPAL), is a Micro Cap company, in the Utilities - Regulated Gas industry, last closed at $1.50, about 89.3% undervalued vs fair value, -26.0% 1Y return, ranked 90/117 in sector.
Metrics P/E 15.7× Rev Growth 16.3% ROE -18.3% Gross Margin 30.4% Div Yield 2.56%
USD 1.50
-2.29%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 59.2%
Market Cap
$261.26M
Enterprise Value
$1.09B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Weak
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Weak
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 97%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://opalfuels.com
HQ White Plains, NY
Employees 341
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Nov 9 Call: Nov 9

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$2
$3
$3
Current: $1.50 +89% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Micro Cap

Regulated Utilities - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Total Revenue
$349.0M
16.3%%
EBITDA
$34.4M
-24.4%%
Operating Income (EBIT)
$7.4M
-65.1%%
Net Income
$14.8M
33.7%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Regulated Utilities

Quality & Reliability Indicators

FFO / Total Debt
6.1%
Poor

FFO ÷ Total Debt — the primary S&P/Moody's credit metric for utility ratings. >15% is investment-grade; >20% signals strong credit quality.

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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$10.5M
48.6% of FFO

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
6
Active Leaks
1/6
Improving
1
High Impact
2
Critical
Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Regulated Utilities

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating OPAL Fuels Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
34
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Predictable Regulated Cash Flows Margin stability is high (score 0.75), reflecting the contractual nature of regulated tariffs.

Key risks

  • Interest Coverage Below Peers Interest coverage is weak (score 0.12), which may pressure credit ratings.
  • Below-Allowed ROE Return on equity is weak vs peers (score 0.25), implying the company may not be earning its allowed return.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Regulatory Franchise

Moderate
55
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Signals, strengths and risks for Regulatory Franchise

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Signals, strengths and risks for Rate-Base Return Quality

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Signals, strengths and risks for Dividend Sustainability

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Structure Discipline

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Signals, strengths and risks for Operational Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Essential Service Resilience

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Regulated Utilities vs Industry Peers 88% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing OPAL's balance between Growth (59.5%), Profitability (11.4%), and Safety (29.2%). Growth 59% Safety 29% Profitability 11%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

67th percentile vs peers
67
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 16.3% 83p Asset Growth YoY 8.9% 54p EPS Growth YoY 6.41 98p Revenue CAGR 3Y 14.0% 84p Equity Growth YoY $-57.2K 0p
Strengths
  • Rev Growth YoY in top 20% of peers (16.3%, 83th percentile)
  • EPS Growth YoY in top 20% of peers (6.41, 98th percentile)
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y in top 20% of peers (14.0%, 84th percentile)
  • Equity/Assets in top 20% of peers (51.9%, 86th percentile)
  • Growth above peer median with strong metric coverage (100%)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

12th percentile vs peers
13
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

32th percentile vs peers
33
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for OPAL Fuels Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$2.84
- - -
+89.3% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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