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Company Analysis

Pampa Energia S.A. PAM

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Pampa Energia S.A.

Overview of Pampa Energía S.A.

PAM NYQ
Utilities Utilities - Independent Power Producers Framework: Regulated Utilities Mid Cap
Pampa Energía S.A. (PAM), is a Mid Cap company, in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, last closed at $86.19, about 22.3% overvalued vs fair value, +44.9% 1Y return, ranked 100/117 in sector.
Metrics P/E 12.8× Rev Growth -99.9% ROE 11.0% Gross Margin 31.5% Div Yield 0.02%
USD 86.19
1.64%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 34.1%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$4.69B
Enterprise Value
$6.31B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 62%
Updated: Sep 12
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://ri.pampa.com/en
HQ Buenos Aires
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Nov 2

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$56
$67
$77
Current: $86.19 -22% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Regulated Utilities - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Total Revenue
$2.0B
-99.9%%
EBITDA
$1.2B
-99.9%%
Operating Income (EBIT)
$332.0M
-99.9%%
Net Income
$377.0M
-99.9%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Regulated Utilities

Quality & Reliability Indicators

FFO / Total Debt
51.6%
Excellent

FFO ÷ Total Debt — the primary S&P/Moody's credit metric for utility ratings. >15% is investment-grade; >20% signals strong credit quality.

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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$48.0M
4.8% of FFO

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
3
Active Leaks
0/3
Improving
0
High Impact
2
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Regulated Utilities

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Pampa Energia S.A.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
62
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Strong Regulated Margins Regulated margin level is strong (score 0.84), indicating favourable rate-case outcomes.
  • Investment-Grade Interest Coverage Interest coverage is strong (score 0.93), supporting investment-grade credit metrics.

Key risks

  • Volatile Rate-Base Returns ROE stability is poor (score 0.04), reflecting inconsistent regulatory outcomes.
  • Deteriorating Operational Efficiency Efficiency trend is negative (score 0.11), which warrants monitoring.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Regulatory Franchise

Moderate
68
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Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Regulated Utilities vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing PAM's balance between Growth (9.5%), Profitability (42.0%), and Safety (48.4%). Growth 10% Safety 48% Profitability 42%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

15th percentile vs peers
15
Key Signals
Asset Growth YoY 4.6% 20p Equity Growth YoY 9.4% 65p EPS Growth YoY -99.9% 6p Rev Growth YoY -99.9% 2p Revenue CAGR 3Y -81.6% 0p
Strengths
  • EBITDA Margin in top 20% of peers (59.3%, 89th percentile)
  • Operating Cash Flow Margin in top 20% of peers (38.9%, 83th percentile)
  • Net Debt/EBITDA in top 20% of peers (1.33, 83th percentile)
  • Interest Coverage (EBITDA) in top 20% of peers (6.27, 82th percentile)
  • Equity/Assets in top 20% of peers (54.7%, 88th percentile)
Risks
  • Growth in bottom 20% of peers (percentile: 15)
  • Asset Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (4.6%)
  • EPS Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-99.9%)
  • Rev Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-99.9%)

Profitability

67th percentile vs peers
68
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

78th percentile vs peers
78
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Pampa Energia S.A..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$66.98
- - -
-22.3% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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