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Company Analysis

Talos Energy, Inc. TALO

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Talos Energy, Inc.

Overview of Talos Energy Inc.

TALO NYQ
Energy Oil & Gas E&P Framework: Commodities & Mining Mid Cap
Talos Energy Inc. (TALO), is a Mid Cap company, in the Oil & Gas E&P industry, last closed at $16.46, about 59.5% overvalued vs fair value, +68.3% 1Y return, ranked 150/260 in sector.
Metrics Rev Growth -9.8% ROE -20.1% Gross Margin 9.9%
USD 16.46
-9.71%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 46.5%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$2.75B
Enterprise Value
$3.40B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Good
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Good
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 88%
Confidence: 91%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://www.talosenergy.com
HQ Houston, TX
Employees 700
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Nov 3 Call: Nov 4

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$5
$7
$8
Current: $16.46 -60% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Commodities & Mining - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$1.8B
-9.8%%
Gross Profit
$176.7M
-53.8%%
Operating Income
-$560.3M
-424%%
EBITDA
$740.5M
-41.1%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Commodities & Mining

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
-1.89x

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

Free cash flow relative to net income - not meaningful while net income is negative

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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$119.5M
12.8% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
1
Active Leaks
0/1
Improving
0
High Impact
1
Critical
Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Talos Energy, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
30
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Cash Generation Consistent Cash generation is consistent (score 0.77), indicating reliable business model.
  • Consistent Cash Generation Cash generation is strong and consistent (score 0.77).

Key risks

  • Commodity Pressure / Weak Differentiation Gross margin at 7.4th percentile with high volatility suggests weak pricing power or commoditized products.
  • ROIC Below WACC or Peers ROIC at 10.3th percentile suggests inefficient capital deployment.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Weak
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Commodities & Mining vs Industry Peers 92% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing TALO's balance between Growth (28.8%), Profitability (32.0%), and Safety (39.3%). Growth 29% Safety 39% Profitability 32%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

29th percentile vs peers
30
Key Signals
Revenue CAGR 3Y 2.5% 56p Rev Growth YoY -9.8% 24p EPS Growth YoY -5.49 3p
Strengths
  • FCF Margin in top 20% of peers (52.6%, 94th percentile)
  • Cash Flow to Debt Ratio in top 20% of peers (5.69, 95th percentile)
  • Consistently strong margins across 3 metrics
Risks
  • EPS Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-5.49)

Profitability

33th percentile vs peers
33
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

40th percentile vs peers
41
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Talos Energy, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$6.67
- - -
-59.5% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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