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Company Analysis

TXNM Energy, Inc. TXNM

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for TXNM Energy, Inc.

Overview of TXNM Energy, Inc.

TXNM NYQ
Utilities Utilities - Regulated Electric Framework: Regulated Utilities Mid Cap
TXNM Energy, Inc. (TXNM), is a Mid Cap company, in the Utilities - Regulated Electric industry, last closed at $58.09, about 43.5% overvalued vs fair value, +2.2% 1Y return, ranked 49/117 in sector.
Metrics P/E 39.8× Rev Growth 9.9% ROE 5.1% Gross Margin 62.4% Div Yield 2.55%
USD 58.09
0.16%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 6.5%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$6.24B
Enterprise Value
$12.17B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 62%
Updated: Sep 12
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.txnmenergy.com
HQ Albuquerque, NM
Employees 1,695
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Oct 30 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$27
$33
$38
Current: $58.09 -44% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Regulated Utilities - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Total Revenue
$2.2B
9.9%%
EBITDA
$934.9M
0.4%%
Operating Income (EBIT)
$440.4M
-4.8%%
Net Income
$151.9M
-37.4%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Regulated Utilities

Quality & Reliability Indicators

FFO / Total Debt
11.3%
Fair

FFO ÷ Total Debt — the primary S&P/Moody's credit metric for utility ratings. >15% is investment-grade; >20% signals strong credit quality.

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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$175.3M
27.2% of FFO

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
4
Active Leaks
1/4
Improving
0
High Impact
3
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Regulated Utilities

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating TXNM Energy, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
34
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Consistent Dividend Coverage Cash flow payout coverage is stable (score 1.00), reducing dividend cut risk.

Key risks

  • Interest Coverage Below Peers Interest coverage is weak (score 0.04), which may pressure credit ratings.
  • Margin Pressure from Rate Cases Regulated margin level is weak (score 0.26), which may signal regulatory headwinds.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Regulatory Franchise

Developing
37
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Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Regulated Utilities vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing TXNM's balance between Growth (38.9%), Profitability (38.3%), and Safety (22.8%). Growth 39% Safety 23% Profitability 38%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

45th percentile vs peers
45
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 9.9% 62p Asset Growth YoY 7.6% 42p Equity Growth YoY 34.2% 90p Revenue CAGR 3Y -1.3% 22p EPS Growth YoY -44.6% 14p
Strengths
  • Equity Growth YoY in top 20% of peers (34.2%, 90th percentile)
Risks
  • EPS Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-44.6%)

Profitability

44th percentile vs peers
44
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

26th percentile vs peers
26
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for TXNM Energy, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$32.83
- - -
-43.5% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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