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Company Analysis

VALE S.A. VALE

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for VALE S.A.

Overview of Vale S.A.

VALE NYQ
Basic Materials Other Industrial Metals & Mining Framework: Commodities & Mining Large Cap
Vale S.A. (VALE), is a Large Cap company, in the Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry, last closed at $11.34, about 11.5% overvalued vs fair value, -7.3% 1Y return, ranked 107/267 in sector.
Metrics P/E 23.7× Rev Growth 0.9% ROE 7.0% Gross Margin 35.0% Div Yield 6.02%
USD 11.34
-0.44%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 30.5%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$48.61B
Enterprise Value
$65.34B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Good
Health
Good
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Good
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Good
Health
Good
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Good
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 98%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://vale.com
HQ Rio De Janeiro, RJ
Employees 65,805
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Call Oct 30

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$9
$10
$11
Current: $11.34 -12% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Commodities & Mining - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$38.4B
0.9%%
Gross Profit
$13.5B
-2.4%%
Operating Income
$5.9B
-45.3%%
EBITDA
$9.8B
-11.6%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Commodities & Mining

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
1.19x
Excellent

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

Free cash flow relative to net income

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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$3.6B
127.4% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
5
Active Leaks
0/5
Improving
0
High Impact
1
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating VALE S.A.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
72
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Margins Consistently Above Peers Gross margin at 35.0% (top 21%) and operating margin at 15.4% (top 17%) indicate strong pricing power.
  • Cost Leadership Position Operating margin at 82.8th percentile with strong OpEx control demonstrates cost leadership.

Key risks

  • Liquidity Concerns Liquidity is concerning (score 0.29), raising questions about short-term obligations.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Moderate
73
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Commodities & Mining vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing VALE's balance between Growth (26.6%), Profitability (39.0%), and Safety (34.4%). Growth 27% Safety 34% Profitability 39%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

37th percentile vs peers
37
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 0.9% 46p Revenue CAGR 3Y -4.3% 37p TSR 55.7% 73p EPS Growth YoY -61.8% 23p EPS CAGR 3Y -48.6% 10p
Strengths
  • Cash Flow to Debt Ratio in top 20% of peers (10.35, 98th percentile)
Risks
  • Growth below peer median (percentile: 37)

Profitability

54th percentile vs peers
54
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Strengths
Risks
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Safety

47th percentile vs peers
48
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for VALE S.A..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$10.04
- - -
-11.5% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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